Bitcoin Bull Run according to plan B
The Bitcoin bulls are on the trigger. On December 17, the No. 1 cryptocurrency broke the sound barrier for the first time at $ 23,000, thus continuing its journey to the moon. With the price gains, the bullish forecasts can no longer stop. The opinion ECHO.
In the days after Bitcoin Alltime Highs, Twitter is a fun place to be
You put I-told-you-so-sayings around your ears as if there was no tomorrow. Understandable, after all, it took a full three years for cryptocurrency No. 1 to reach the level at which it was trading at the end of 2017.
To be as prepared as possible for the upcoming Bull Run, it can be worth taking a look at past Bitcoin cycles. An old acquaintance has accordingly placed the profits from past bull markets above the price level. It is, you guessed it, PlanB.
PlanB is the originator of the stock-to-flow model. An over-bullish rate model that links Bitcoin rates to the scarcity of the good. With every halving, BTC becomes scarcer and leads to exorbitant price fluctuations in the medium term. The question that worries the Bitcoin community, however, is whether the returns, i.e. the price gains, decrease with each halving compared to the previous cycle. While BTC made up around 10,000 percent from November 2012 to July 2016, it was “only” 2,000 percent in the second Halving epoch.
However, if BTC were to rise to the value of USD 288,000 predicted by PlanB by the end of 2021, this would mean a price gain of around 2,800 percent of the base value USD 10,000. But that does not go well with the narrative of falling returns.
Nevertheless, PlanB sticks to its price prediction and writes on Twitter that one could say goodbye to the idea that the cycles will be longer and less profitable:
R.I.P. „lengthening cycles“ and „diminishing returns“.
Guggenheim Partner: Bitcoin’s fair value is $ 400,000
Guggenheim Partners‘ continued bullish behavior also caused a stir. The asset manager recently announced that he wanted to invest 10 percent of the $ 5.3 billion Macro Opportunities Fund in BTC. In part, that has already happened. The accumulation has started since BTC was at $ 10,000.
Now Scott Minerd, chief strategist at Guggenheim, explains why Bitcoin is seen as a great opportunity. Internal analysis showed a fair value of a whopping $ 400,000 per bitcoin, Minerd told Bloomberg. We are “delighted” with the latest rally on the course.
Minerd, however, ties his daring price prediction of US $ 400,000 to Bitcoin’s similarity to gold.